Visions of West Virginia's power generation future differ.
The state's major electric utilities both have filed
proposals with the Public Service
Commission of West Virginia to take on additional coal-fired generation
capacity. FirstEnergy's Mon Power filed on Nov. 16 and AEP's Appalachian Power filed on Dec. 18.
The utilities assert that these coal-fired facilities are
the lowest-cost resource for West Virginia ratepayers.
Proponents welcome the opportunity to support the coal
economy, and coal state residents may hear "more coal" almost instinctively as
a good thing.
But some observers of the power industry warn of danger in
committing ratepayers to generation portfolios based essentially on one fuel.
They look throughout the nation and see diversification into cheap natural gas,
renewables and especially energy efficiency saving ratepayers money in other
states, and they want West Virginia's utilities to take it seriously.
The outcomes of these cases will influence the state's
generation mix, incentive for diversification and efficiency and electricity
rates for decades into the future.
Still relying on coal
Both Mon Power and Appalachian Power are staring down
generation shortfalls in coming years. Both propose to meet them by taking
coal-fired capacity off the books of their sister subsidiaries in Ohio.
FirstEnergy would have Mon Power buy 80 percent of the
Harrison power plant for more than $1 billion.
AEP wants Appalachian
Power to buy part of John Amos power station and half of Mitchell at a cost
unspecified in the filing. Using book values the company presented in another
filing, it could be on the order of $1.4 billion.
The proposals are an opportunity to support coal, some say.
"With strict environmental rules idling coal-fired plants at
every corner, we simply cannot take opportunities to utilize West Virginia coal
for granted any longer — particularly one of this magnitude," West Virginia Coal Association
President Bill Raney wrote in a Dec.
27 letter of support for Mon Power's plan. "Mon Power's desire to acquire full
ownership of Harrison and operate it to the benefit of its customers for years
to come is one of the few bright spots in what has otherwise been a very
challenging 2012 for the state's 20,000 miners and 70,000 spin-off workers."
But others point out that the proposals would increase the
already extreme lack of diversification in the utilities' generation
portfolios.
"West Virginians have not been well served in recent years
by the heavy dependence of local utilities on coal for electricity generation,"
observed James Van Nostrand,
director of the Center for Energy and Sustainable Development at West Virginia University and a former
utility lawyer and regulator, in a recent discussion paper.
About 97 percent of the state's electricity comes from coal,
he wrote. With no hedge against price increases, coal price hikes in the past
decade led to dramatically higher rates: 68 percent for AEP's residential
customers from 2000 to 2011, and 39 percent, from a higher baseline, for
FirstEnergy's.
"Integrated" planning diversifies
That could have been prevented, Van Nostrand wrote, with
integrated resource planning, or IRP.
IRP recognizes that reducing demand is just as good as
increasing supply for meeting future power needs. And further, that
diversification protects ratepayers from big increases in the cost of any one
fuel.
The planning method compares the cost of demand-side
measures — energy efficiency, for example — with the cost of supply-side
measures — new generation or buying power in the market — to find the best
"integrated" mix for ratepayers.
Neither of the utilities' proposals sets demand-side options
alongside supply-side options, Van Nostrand said. And neither gives serious
consideration to renewables which, while their costs are loaded up front, have
no fuel cost and so serve to hedge against fuel price volatility.
Of possibly 25 IRPs he's reviewed in his career, he said, he
has never seen an analysis that would put so much of a utility's generation on
any one resource.
"That, to me, is the biggest advantage of IRP:
diversification," he said. "You're trying to come up with a portfolio of
resources that results in the lowest cost for customers over time.
Diversification usually promotes that. Things like wind and solar should be
part of it. And energy efficiency, that should be part of it too."
Money-saving efficiency possible
Efficiency is a resource that builds up over time, noted
policy analyst and Energy Efficiency
West Virginia Coordinator Cathy
Kunkel.
"Energy efficiency investments now would yield significant
savings in the next 10 or 15 years," Kunkel said.
"The company's plan is looking at locking
ratepayers into a major capacity investment with significant long-term
risk," she said of the more recent Appalachian Power filing, "rather
than considering options that would allow it to ramp up energy efficiency and
demand response or build other assets in West Virginia that wouldn't have the
same sort of long-term environmental risk."
AEP and FirstEnergy are doing far more to save energy in
other states than they are in West Virginia.
In the recent filing, Appalachian Power proposes to reduce
demand by 3.3 percent by 2022, referencing what is considered "realistically
achievable" in a 2009 Electric Power Research Institute study.
But AEP companies are achieving more elsewhere, Van Nostrand
said.
Virginia has a voluntary 10 percent energy efficiency target
by 2020, he said — three times Appalachian Power's proposed West Virginia
target. Michigan mandates more than 10 percent by 2020; Indiana, 13.9 percent.
And in Ohio, where both AEP and FirstEnergy are headquartered, utilities have
to put in place efficiency measures equal to more than 20 percent of energy
supplied by 2025.
A recent AEP filing in Virginia acknowledges that
demand-side resources "are the least-cost resource, even in significant
amounts," he quoted.
Kunkel agrees, and would like to see the PSC require
complete IRPs with the utilities' proposals.
"If we're looking at a major investment in an asset that's
going to last another 15 to 20 years, we really need to be looking as well at
other alternatives that create local jobs and save ratepayers money," she said.
Next steps
These cases have been the subject of much dialogue even in
advance of the formal filings.
In the Mon Power case, petitions to intervene were filed
through Dec. 31 by the West Virginia
Citizen Action Group, the PSC's Consumer Advocate Division, the West Virginia Energy Users Group of
large industrial energy users, the Utility
Workers Union of America/AFL-CIO and its Local 304, and the Sierra
Club.
The commission had received 36 form letters of support for
Mon Power and three original letters, including one from the Coal Association.
It had received seven letters of protest.
The more recent Appalachian Power case had a
petition to intervene from the WVEUG.
Mon Power is seeking a mid-April decision from the
commission, a timeline the Consumer Advocate Division argues does not allow for
proper consideration of the complexities. Appalachian Power is looking for a
decision in June.
To follow the cases, subscribe at www.psc.state.wv.us to
case numbers 12-1571 for Mon Power's and 12-1655 for Appalachian Power's
proposals.